12
Feb
2025
Validation of Machine Learning Estimated Conditional Average Treatment Effects
with Michael Knaus (University of Tübingen)
Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research (LISER)
Maison des Sciences Humaines
11, Porte des Sciences
L-4366 Esch-sur-Alzette / Belval
LISER Salle de Conference, 1st Floor
12:30 pm
01:30 pm
For inquiries:
seminars@liser.lu

Abstract

Numerous causal machine learning estimators are available for estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATEs). This paper reviews methods for testing whether these estimators detect genuine systematic effect heterogeneity or merely produce sophisticated noise. We present a unifying theoretical framework that encompasses various approaches in the literature, such as Generic ML and rank-weighted treatment effects, as special cases. Using both simulated and real-world datasets, we evaluate the statistical power of these methods, offering practical guidance for researchers and practitioners seeking to validate their CATE models.

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