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Seminar
English

The intergenerational impact of social pensions on labour supply: Evidence from five countries

When:
THU, 29 JAN 2026
From:
11:00 AM
To:
12:00 PM
Where:
Hybrid
Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research (LISER)

11, Porte des Sciences | L-4366 Esch/Alzette 

LISER 5th floor, Espace Nord
With:
Noelia Bernal Lobato
Noelia Bernal Lobato
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Coauthors: William Fernandez (Hertie School of Governance), Kun Lee (LIS & LISER), Javier Olivera (LISER & National Bank of Belgium)

In this project, we document evidence on the impact of social pension reforms on the labour supply of the recipients' adult children. Our evidence is based on a comparative analysis of five countries sharing a similar context - Chile, Peru, Colombia, Mexico and South Korea. These countries either implemented or significantly expanded (non-contributory) social pensions between 2007 and 2014, while also featuring large pension gaps, old-age poverty rates and a sizeable share of intergenerational households. Drawing on a common difference-in-difference strategy, we show that in most cases, social pensions increase female labour supply. This is likely attributed to older adults retreating from paid work and supporting unpaid work for working-age adults with children.

Speaker
Noelia Bernal Lobato
Noelia Bernal Lobato
Universidad del Pacífico
Noelia Bernal is Full-time Professor in the Department of Economics and Researcher at Universidad del Pacífico Research Center. She holds a Ph.D. in Economics from Tilburg University, and a M.Sc. in Economics and another in Economics and Financing of Aging, both from Tilburg University; and a Bachelor of Social Sciences with a major in Economics from Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. She has carried out specialized studies in demography and actuarial techniques and has experience advising the governments of Peru, the Netherlands, and Latin American and Caribbean countries. She has composed several scientific publications in prestigious international magazines. She has worked as a consultant for the Inter-American Development Bank (IADB), ECLAC and a Researcher for the Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs of the Netherlands. She has also worked as an Economist at BBVA, the Peruvian Ministry of Economy and Finance, and the Superintendency of Banking, Insurance and AFPs.

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PUBLICATION
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The report was prepared at the request of the European Commission by the European Social Policy Analysis Network (ESPAN), an EU-funded research network covering 39 European countries and managed by LISER.

Economic Insecurity and PovertyPoverty, inequality and welfare
CONFERENCE
Round table

On November 27-28, the LIS Cross-National Data Center and LISER co-hosted the 2025 (LIS)²ER–SHARE Luxembourg Joint Workshop on “Pensions and Old-age Well-being: Policy Challenges in Ageing Societies”. The two-day workshop, supported by the (LIS)²ER Initiative and the SHARE Country Team, brought together interdisciplinary researchers and policy experts to examine socio-economic issues and policy challenges faced by ageing societies in Europe. The workshop featured five thematic sessions with ten academic presentations, followed by a policy roundtable on pension reforms.

Health, family and well-being